Geopolitics & your portfolio: Navigating the Iran conflict

Published on 6 March 2026

Global markets have been moving in response to new geopolitical developments. If you’re wondering how this affects your investments, we’ve got you covered.

With recent geopolitical headlines about the escalation between the US, Israel, and Iran, it is natural for investors to feel concerned. As part of our active portfolio management, we are closely monitoring these developments. In this article we explain what is happening, what it means for markets, and why your impact-focused portfolio is built to withstand such volatility.

Before we navigate the economic side of these events, we would like to acknowledge what matters most: our thoughts are with the innocent people affected by the ongoing conflicts.

TL;DR

1. Iran conflict disrupts global energy supply chain
2. Strategic reserves and renewables are cushioning the market reaction
3. Your Inyova portfolio is strategically designed for fossil fuel independence
4. History shows: staying the course is the winning move

Iran conflict disrupts global energy supply chain ⛴️

The Iran war in the Middle East led to a change in how energy moves around the world. Because this region is a major hub for global energy, investors are paying close attention to the logistics of supply. Traffic in the Strait of Hormuz, a key waterway where 20% of global oil supply passes daily, has been disrupted. In Qatar, some gas production was temporarily paused to ensure safety and stability.

As a result of these changes, the price of oil (Brent Crude) increased by approximately 20% during the first week of the conflict and European gas prices also increased. Whilst oil and gas prices are moving, it is helpful to remember that markets have seen these patterns before.

Strategic reserves and renewables are cushioning the market reaction ♟️

Whenever energy prices shift, the world pays close attention to how it affects the cost of living and doing business. Currently, markets are evaluating whether these changes are a short-term logistical hurdle or a longer-lasting trend.

Although a 20% price change may sound like a lot, history puts it into perspective. During the oil crises of the 1970s, prices jumped by over 160%. Today, the market’s reaction is much more stable because the world has built-in safety buffers that didn’t exist decades ago.

Governments have increasingly prioritised energy security since the Ukraine invasion. The US and China have maintained strategic oil reserves that can be released during short-term supply disruptions. After initial short-term volatility, the overall market impact in the United States and China has remained relatively limited.

Because Europe historically relied on energy imports, it experienced a temporary 5% market adjustment this week. 

However, this can be seen as a reinforcing factor in the energy transition. Every time fossil fuel prices fluctuate, it strengthens the case for Europe’s transition to home-grown, renewable energy. This vulnerability is actually fast-tracking the shift to renewables, a key theme of your Inyova impact investments.

The absence of an exponential price surge suggests that existing reserves can withstand a short-term disruption. 

Your Inyova portfolio is strategically designed for fossil fuel independence 💡

Whilst traditional portfolios might feel the direct impact of fossil fuel price changes, the Inyova portfolio is built on a different foundation. Our investment strategy aims to look past temporary fluctuations and focuses on the steady progress of long-term economic shifts.

Your portfolio is constructed with investments designed to gain independence from fossil fuels and benefit from the growing demand for energy security. Amongst others, it includes Nordex, a wind technology firm. Companies like these are becoming essential partners of the energy security transition, as they provide technology that helps countries reduce their dependence on the global oil market.

Our long-term investment approach aims to navigate global crises whilst looking beyond short-term market noise to identify such companies that drive long-term impact.

Your portfolio not only invests in the future of energy, it also diversifies into areas such as health and nutrition, which remain essential regardless of developments in the Middle East. This further adds strong defensive qualities to your portfolio during periods of market uncertainty.

History shows: staying the course is the winning move 🏆

It’s natural to feel uneasy when markets fluctuate. Geopolitical volatility tends to be short-lived: markets often bounce back quickly after geopolitical shocks, and investors who sell quickly often end up buying back in at a higher price later. As history shows, staying the course often leads to better long-term outcomes.

Reach out for support

If you have any questions about your portfolio, our Customer Success team is happy to help you. You can email us at [email protected] or call 044 271 50 00.

Visit our Inyova Knowledge section for the latest updates and thoughtfully curated stories on sustainability, impact topics and beyond.

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